Fundamental Analysis

Fundamental Analysis

1) Political factor and economic

Fundamental analysis based on the analysis to situation of economics and politics globally.including in it rumor and change tren market,in commerce valas many the interested partieses is so that frequently happened the governmental intervention to stabilize its currency price.intention of this intervention is so that price a currency not overweening and or too weak.

following will be explained regarding some Fundamental analysis to be known in doing commerce valas.complete data regarding the program valas can be taken away from visibiznews.com

Interest rate
interest rate is change to rate of interest in short-range give the influence very quickly and effective to weaken or strengthen an currency

Inflation
improvement of price that happened continually , theoretically if inflation a state go up , hence will result it weakening assess the state currency

Consumer Price Index (CPI)
the data measure the paid price change by consumer to a group of selected service and goods. if CPI go up, hence will affect at going up of of inflation rate to cause the him going up mount rate of interest

Export/Import
price export/import good for pressure indication inflation of change of rate of exchange. perpetrators of commerce valas more pay attention the import price data don't calculate the component oil (Import Price - Excl. Oil) and the exporting price don't calculate the agricultural sector ( Export Price - Excl Agricultural).kedua the component too fluktuatif, easy to go up or go down without correlation with rate

H I C P
is the inflation indicator in wearing by European Central Bank

Producer Price Index /PPI
is a group of the index calculate the price rate of change sell the goods and service at period of selected time which accepted by domestic producer

Exchange Rate
Exchange Rate foreign money is assessing comparison or can be referred by theX the exchange rate between a currency to other currency

Fixed Exchange Rate
an exchange rate system where government specify the domestic currency exchange rate remain toly to other currency exchange rate

Average Hourly Earnings Growth
growth storey level between storey levels is per hour in one months and storey level growth of fee, so that can is also made by theX the inflation indicator. mount per important year also corrected reading to give the picture tren long-range

Current Account
difference between totalizing the goods import and exporting, transfer and service. is part of balance of trade. in calculation Current Account don't include;cover the asset transaction transaction finansial and obligation ( debt) . this data is indicator tren foreign trade



Federal Open Market Committee(FOMC)
institute of is part of federal reserve specifying policy of credit and rate of interest storey level. FOMC is instituting maker of top-drawer policy in federal system reserve

Gross domestic product(GDP)
measure the value market the service and goods yielded by a state, without considering the company nationality yield the service or goods. GDP consist of 4 especial component that is : consumption storey level , purchasing invesment by government and total of cleanness export

Industrial Production
industial production is the monthly data measure totally [of] production from all factory, mining, and company of service of public ( electrics, water, gas , transportation, and others)

M4- Money Supply
iis the data count the moneys circulating in a[n economics. is summing up from
• the moneys amount circulating in the form of coin and paper
• amount loans of bank, to other bank
• the moneys amount borrowed by government

Non-farm payrolls
labours amount in sector of is non full-time laboring agriculture and part-time which get the formal fee more than 500 privat enterprise and public

Productivity
measure change in of the service and goodses amount produced by per unit, join the capital and labour input, price unit from kompone labour is the indicator good for measuring the pressure to fee

PSNCR-Public Sector Net Cash Requirement
moneys amount to be borrowed the government to defray the expenditure, because government is oftentimes release above the they accept from acceptance of Iease.

Retail Sales
this data calculate to totalize from acceptance of shop ritel, without expenditure component input for the sector of service in it, this monthly data give percentage of change of data month of before all , negative number give down amount of sales from before all

Trade Balance
Trade balance is difference clear of value eksport and goods import and service an state,

Unemployment Rate
percentage is from them active which look for the work, but not yet got work

Weekly Initial Jobless Claims
new claims amount to get unemployment subsidy
2)News and Influence

1. Average earning go up,hence USD strong
2. Balance of payment go up,hence USD strong
3. Budget deficit go down,hence USD strong
4. Business inventoris go down,hence USD strong
5. Capacity utilization go up,hence USD strong
6. Car sales go up,hence USD strong
7. Chicago PMI go up,hence USD strong
8. Construction spending go up,hence USD strong
9. Consumer confidence index go up,hence USD strong
10. Consumer credit go up,hence USD strong
11. Consumer price index(CPI) go down,hence USD strong
12. Consumer spending(Expenditure)go down,hence USD strong
13. Cost of living go down,hence USD strong
14. Current account go down,hence USD strong
15. Corporate profit go down,hence USD strong
16. Deflation go up, hence USD strong
17. Discount rate go up,hence USD strong
18. Durable goods order go up ,hence USD strong
19. Economic monetary system (EMS)go up,hence USD strong
20. Factory orders go up. hence USD strong
21. Federal budget go up. hence USD strong
22. Federal reserve fund go up,hence USD strong
23. Gross domestic product go up,hence USD strong
24. Gross national product go up,hence USD strong
25. Housing star go up,hence USD strong
26. Industrial production go up,hence USD strong
27. Interest rate (FOMC meeting) go up ,hence USD strong
28. Jobless claims go down ,hence USD strong
29. Leading indicators go up ,hence USD strong
30. Money supply(M1,M2,M3,M4) go up ,hence USD strong
31. National association purchasing maneger go up ,hence USD strong
32. Non farm payrolls go up ,hence USD strong
33. Personal expenditure go up,hence USD strong
34. Personal income go up hence USD strong
35. Prime rate go up,hence USD strong
36. Producer Price Index (PPI) go down, hence USD strong
37. Public sector debt repayment go up ,hence USD strong
38. Retail sales go up,hence USD strong
39. Trade balance go up ,hence USD strong
40. Trade deficit go down,hence USD strong
41. Trade weighted index go up, hence USD strong
42. Unemployment rate go down,hence USD strong
43. Unit labor cost go down,hence USD strong
44. Value added tax go down,hence USD strong
45. Visible trade go up,hence USD strong
46. Whole sale price index go up,hence USD strong
47. Whole sale order go up,hence USD strong

3)News source internet

following is some website the can be followed from time to time to get the information or news now relate to commerce valas

http://www.forexfactory.com
http://www.cnbc.com
http://www.bloomberg.com
http://www.reuters.com
http://www.babypips.com
http://www.bankofny.com
http://www.dailyfx.com
http://www.ft.com
http://www.fxstreet.com
http://www.marketwatch.com
http://www.newsnow.com
http://www.news.efnow.com
http://www.tenfore.com